Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.223451 0.252312 0.282907 0.317697 0.356098 0.397126 0.444216
2025-08-03 0.187089 0.226440 0.270604 0.323628 0.385336 0.454651 0.538159
2025-08-10 0.163107 0.209553 0.264275 0.333036 0.416625 0.514409 0.636874
2025-08-17 0.139612 0.189484 0.250899 0.331294 0.432874 0.555997 0.715452
2025-08-24 0.121650 0.173623 0.240254 0.330742 0.449056 0.596995 0.794239
2025-08-31 0.106988 0.160035 0.230625 0.329767 0.463477 0.635390 0.870590
2025-09-07 0.097417 0.152062 0.227262 0.336093 0.486941 0.685675 0.963726
2025-09-14 0.087463 0.142316 0.220296 0.336442 0.501668 0.724402 1.042625
2025-09-21 0.079016 0.133774 0.214061 0.336920 0.515980 0.762543 1.121654
2025-09-28 0.071784 0.126252 0.208499 0.337617 0.530125 0.800498 1.201364
2025-10-05 0.066433 0.121080 0.205892 0.342212 0.549728 0.846470 1.293568
2025-10-12 0.062645 0.118022 0.206171 0.350951 0.575559 0.902011 1.401053
2025-10-19 0.057639 0.112632 0.202631 0.353970 0.593607 0.948041 1.498315
2025-10-26 0.053794 0.108845 0.201340 0.360354 0.617000 1.002799 1.610397
2025-11-02 0.051019 0.106661 0.202474 0.370603 0.646776 1.068139 1.740453
2025-11-09 0.046410 0.100617 0.196528 0.368658 0.656876 1.103755 1.826881
2025-11-16 0.042495 0.095450 0.191637 0.368034 0.668849 1.142437 1.919030
2025-11-23 0.038911 0.090524 0.186738 0.366956 0.679807 1.179679 2.009933
2025-11-30 0.036774 0.088265 0.186476 0.373883 0.704305 1.239071 2.137163
2025-12-07 0.033971 0.084320 0.182732 0.374263 0.717537 1.280645 2.237351
2025-12-14 0.031441 0.080670 0.179234 0.374785 0.730880 1.322670 2.339363
2025-12-21 0.029163 0.077312 0.176016 0.375548 0.744537 1.365500 2.443791
2025-12-28 0.027528 0.075219 0.175126 0.380582 0.765884 1.421712 2.571591